NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED MONDAY 10-19-2026

Our first "real" storm is headed this way. By "real", I mean non-tropical storm. This one is coming from the Gulf of Alaska and is currently spinning off the coast of the Pacific Northwest.

You can see it spinning in the satellite loop below, which also highlights low level moisture. In this loop, there isn't a strong connection to tropical moisture. 

The second image is a computer projection of low level moisture by Thursday, while the storm is passing overhead. It's enough to bring some good rain showers, but this storm is moving too fast to get a real connection to the tropics.

Showers will move in early Thursday morning and persist on-and-off through the day. Rain will exit the area by Friday morning. We could see an isolated thunderstorm Thursday evening, however, there will be better chances farther north near the storm's core.

I've included the computer projection for rainfall, which shows our area getting 0.5 to 1.5" of rainfall.

I'm keeping an eye on another system that could arrive late next week. I'll post updates soon.

Happy rain season everyone! 

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: SATURDAY 10-10-2026 TO SUNDAY 10-11-2026

 

Agua Caliente (AGUC1)	1.21
Alpine (ANEC1)	2.8
Barona (BNAC1)	3.2
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	1.99
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	2.52
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	5.82
Bonita (BNNC1)	1.66
Bonsall (BOSC1)	2.48
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0.93
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	1.14
Brown Field (SDM)	1.52
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	2.96
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	1.35
Campo (CMFC1)	2.08
Case Springs (CSPC1)	0
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	1.5
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	2.87
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	2.15
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0.76
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	4.32
Del Sol Canyon Collector (DLSC1)	0.01
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	1.68
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	2.43
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	2.43
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.38
Escondido (ESOC1)	1.96
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	2.41
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	2.48
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	2.61
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	1.15
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	3.39
Goat Canyon (GOCC1)	0
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	3.06
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	2.64
Greenhouse CW3E (GHNC1)	1.21
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	3.5
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	2.92
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	2.08
Julian (JLNC1)	3.81
Julian (JULC1)	3.63
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	1.12
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	3.33
La Mesa (LMSC1)	1.69
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	1.56
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	2.6
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	2.26
Las Flores (LSFC1)	1.71
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	4.38
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	4.12
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	1.6
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	1.19
Montgomery Field (MYF)	1.02
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	2.88
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	2.91
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	3.58
Murrieta (WRSC1)	0.53
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	2.1
Oceanside (OCNC1)	1.92
Oceanside (OKB)	1.74
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	3.6
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	2.55
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	1.91
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	1.93
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	4.52
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	6.36
Palomar Mountain USFS (PAMC1)	4.64
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	4.55
Pine Valley County Park (PNVC1)	2.2
Point Loma (L13)	0.78
Potrero (PRCC1)	2.66
Poway (PWYC1)	1.89
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	2.67
Ramona (RMNC1)	2.95
Ramona (RNM)	3.03
Ranchita (RTAC1)	1.46
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	3.22
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	2.27
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	2.63
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	1.98
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	2.45
San Diego Int'l Airport (SAN)	1.04
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	1.72
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	0.01
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	2.63
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	1.7
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	3.18
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	1.77
Silva Drain Collector (ISVC1)	0
SIO Pier CW3E (SRPC1)	0.99
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	3.06
Smugglers Gulch (UGGC1)	0
Stewarts Drain Cyn Collector (EWTC1)	0.01
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	4.07
Talega (TLGC1)	1.38
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	1.57
Vallecitos Repeater (VCIC1)	1.42
Valley Center (VALC1)	2.4
Valley Center (VLCC1)	2.45
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	0.01
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	2.12
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	1.82
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	3.26
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	3.13

NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED 10 AM SATURDAY 10-10-2026

Tropical Storm Rachel is headed this way. You can see it in the satellite loop below. It's fairly ragged with precipitation mainly in the northern section of the storm. In other words, it's weakening. 

With that said, all computer guidance has the center of the storm moving just southeast of our area. I've included the computer projections of track and intensity.  

Showers are possible through today, but the best chance for heavier rain will be tonight into Sunday morning. Isolated showers will still be possible through the rest of Sunday into Monday morning. 

I've included the computer projection for total rainfall, which shows most of the county getting around an inch of rain. Isolated areas could get close to 2". 

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: SUNDAY 9-6-2026

Agua Caliente (AGUC1)	0.01
Alpine (ANEC1)	0
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	0
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	0
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	0.1
Bonita (BNNC1)	0
Bonsall (BOSC1)	0.03
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0.02
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	0
Cameron Guard Station (CMNC1)	0.03
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	0
Campo (CMFC1)	0
Case Springs (CSPC1)	0.06
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	0.01
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	0.08
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	0.03
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0.01
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	0.04
Del Sol Canyon Collector (DLSC1)	0
Descanso (DENC1)	0.04
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	0.04
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	0
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	0.02
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.03
Escondido (ESOC1)	0.01
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	0.01
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	0.02
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	0.08
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	0
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	0
Goat Canyon (GOCC1)	0
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	0.01
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	0
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	0
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	0.07
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	0.01
Julian (JLNC1)	0.05
Julian (JULC1)	0.05
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	0
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	0.03
La Mesa (LMSC1)	0
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	0
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	0.01
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	0
Las Flores (LSFC1)	0.02
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	0.15
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	0.06
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	0
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	0
Missle (MSXC1)	0
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	0.06
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	0.06
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	0.02
Murrieta (WRSC1)	0.1
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	0.1
Oceanside (OCNC1)	0.02
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	0
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	0.04
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	0.04
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	0.16
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	0.12
Palomar Mountain USFS (PAMC1)	0.14
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	0.05
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	0.05
Pine Valley County Park (PNVC1)	0.03
Point Loma (L13)	0
Potrero (PRCC1)	0
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	0
Poway (PWYC1)	0
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	0.03
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	0.11
Ramona (RMNC1)	0.01
Ranchita (RTAC1)	0.05
Ranchita CDF (RCHC1)	0.07
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	0.02
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	0
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	0.03
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	0
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	0
San Felipe Valley (SFVC1)	0
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	0.06
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	0.01
San Miguel (MIGC1)	0
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	0.01
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	0.08
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	0.02
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	0
Silva Drain Collector (ISVC1)	0
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	0.01
Smugglers Gulch (UGGC1)	0
Stewarts Drain Cyn Collector (EWTC1)	0
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	0.02
Talega (TLGC1)	0.04
Thousand Trails - Jamul (TTRC1)	0
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	0
Vallecitos Repeater (VCIC1)	0
Valley Center (VALC1)	0
Valley Center (VLCC1)	0.05
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	0.06
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	0.05
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	0.01
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	0
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	0.02

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: MONDAY 5-4-2026 TO TUESDAY 5-5-2026

Alpine (ANEC1)	0.4
Barona (BNAC1)	0.3
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	0.13
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	0.26
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	0.42
Bonita (BNNC1)	0.18
Bonsall (BOSC1)	0.04
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0
Brown Field (SDM)	0.18
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	0.32
Cameron Guard Station (CMNC1)	0.25
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	0.36
Camp Pendleton (PPDC1)	0.22
Campo (CMFC1)	0.14
Case Springs (CSPC1)	0.02
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	0.11
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	0.09
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	0.03
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	0.82
Del Sol Canyon Collector (DLSC1)	0.01
Descanso (DENC1)	0.43
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	0.48
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.33
Escondido (ESOC1)	0.38
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	0.1
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	0.13
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	0.09
Fallbrook Community AP (L18)	0.18
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	0.31
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	0.31
Gillespie Field Airport (SEE)	0.09
Goat Canyon (GOCC1)	0
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	0.53
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	0.27
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	0.46
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	0.33
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	0.23
Julian (JLNC1)	0.71
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	0.27
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	0.57
La Mesa (LMSC1)	0.22
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	0.47
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	0.47
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	0.28
Las Flores (LSFC1)	0.13
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	0.42
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	0.4
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	0.41
Miramar Marine Corps Station (NKX)	0.16
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	0.27
Missle (MSXC1)	0.39
Montgomery Field (MYF)	0.16
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	0.4
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	0.33
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	0.49
Murrieta (WRSC1)	0.06
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	0.15
Oceanside (OCNC1)	0.07
Oceanside (OKB)	0.07
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	0.46
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	0.05
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	0.15
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	0.14
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	0.29
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	0.4
Palomar Mountain USFS (PAMC1)	0.35
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	1.17
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	1.27
Pine Valley County Park (PNVC1)	0.41
Point Loma (L13)	0.22
Potrero (PRCC1)	0.38
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	0.29
Poway (PWYC1)	0.47
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	0.11
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	0.07
Ramona (RMNC1)	0.3
Ramona (RNM)	0.27
Ranchita (RTAC1)	0.24
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	0.66
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	0.39
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	0.43
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	0.26
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	0.44
San Diego Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.22
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	0.13
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	0.01
San Miguel (MIGC1)	0.22
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	0.58
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	0.1
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	0.61
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	0.39
Silva Drain Collector (ISVC1)	0.34
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	0.19
Smugglers Gulch (UGGC1)	0
Stewarts Drain Cyn Collector (EWTC1)	0.01
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	0.65
Talega (TLGC1)	0.04
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	0.09
Vallecitos Repeater (VCIC1)	0.35
Valley Center (VALC1)	0.19
Valley Center (VLCC1)	0.41
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	0.98
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	0.11
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	0.58
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	0.2

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: MONDAY 4-27-2026

Alpine (ANEC1)	0.01
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	0.01
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	0.02
Bonita (BNNC1)	0.02
Brown Field (SDM)	0.01
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	0.01
Campo (CMFC1)	0.01
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	0.01
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	0.01
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	0.01
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	0.01
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	0.01
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	0.01
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	0.02
Montgomery Field (MYF)	0.01
North Island NAS (NZY)	0.02
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	0.05
Point Loma (L13)	0.01
Potrero (PRCC1)	0.01
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	0.01
Poway (PWYC1)	0.03
San Diego Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.03
San Miguel (MIGC1)	0.05
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	0.01
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	0.01
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	0.01

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: SATURDAY 4-25-2026

Agua Caliente (AGUC1)	0
Alpine (ANEC1)	0.5
Barona (BNAC1)	0.17
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	0.1
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	0.21
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	0.74
Bonita (BNNC1)	0.23
Bonsall (BOSC1)	0.22
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0
Brown Field (SDM)	0.07
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	0.18
Cameron Guard Station (CMNC1)	0.18
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	0.17
Campo (CMFC1)	0.03
Case Springs (CSPC1)	0
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	0.3
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	0.5
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	0.3
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	0.7
Del Sol Canyon Collector (DLSC1)	0
Descanso (DENC1)	0.44
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	0.46
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.01
Escondido (ESOC1)	0.3
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	0.33
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	0.35
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	0.59
Fallbrook Community AP (L18)	0.46
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	0.06
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	0.25
Goat Canyon (GOCC1)	0
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	0.44
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	0.14
Greenhouse CW3E (GHNC1)	0.04
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	0.32
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	0.34
Julian (JLNC1)	0.76
Julian (JULC1)	0.67
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	0.15
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	0.63
La Mesa (LMSC1)	0.11
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	0.35
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	0.22
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	0.16
Las Flores (LSFC1)	0.1
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	0.83
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	0.06
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	0.72
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	0.07
Miramar Marine Corps Station (NKX)	0.11
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	0.09
Missle (MSXC1)	0.19
Montgomery Field (MYF)	0.03
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	0.25
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	0.62
Murrieta (WRSC1)	0.31
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	0.17
Oceanside (OCNC1)	0.19
Oceanside (OKB)	0.29
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	0.15
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	0.65
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	0.32
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	0.32
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	0.72
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	0.92
Palomar Mountain USFS (PAMC1)	0.86
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	0.74
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	0.81
Pine Valley County Park (PNVC1)	0.37
Point Loma (L13)	0
Potrero (PRCC1)	0.18
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	0.14
Poway (PWYC1)	0.16
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	0.27
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	0.29
Ramona (RMNC1)	0.73
Ramona (RNM)	0.52
Ranchita (RTAC1)	0.14
Ranchita CDF (RCHC1)	0.17
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	0.47
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	0.42
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	0.34
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	0.25
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	0.24
San Diego Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.06
San Felipe Valley (SFVC1)	0
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	0.21
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	0.01
San Miguel (MIGC1)	0.16
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	0.48
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	0.27
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	0.63
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	0.09
Silva Drain Collector (ISVC1)	0.07
SIO Pier CW3E (SRPC1)	0.18
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	0.38
Smugglers Gulch (UGGC1)	0
Stewarts Drain Cyn Collector (EWTC1)	0
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	0.68
Talega (TLGC1)	0.38
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	0.08
Vallecitos Repeater (VCIC1)	0.67
Valley Center (VALC1)	0.41
Valley Center (VLCC1)	0.36
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	0.64
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	0.32
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	0.42
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	0.8
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	0.32