NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED MONDAY 2-18-2019

Our next storm system is going to dive straight south along the western North American coastline. Because it is taking this path, it won't have time to tap into significant moisture from the south. Regardless, we should still see some decent rainfall (computer forecast map below).

Isolated showers will develop Wednesday afternoon. Then rain will intensify Wednesday night and through Thursday, where intermittent moderate to heavy rain showers will be possible. Rain will then taper Thursday night into early Friday morning.

This is a cold system, so snow levels will be the lowest that we've seen so far this season. They will start at 4,500-5,000 feet Wednesday, then drop to 3,500-4,500 feet on Thursday. It's still early to pinpoint snow accumulations, but early data is showing well over 6" above 5,000 feet (computer forecast map below).

Long range computer forecasts show a slight chance for rain Sunday, but don't hold your breath. Afterwards, it looks mainly dry through most of next workweek.

Computer forecast for rainfall by Friday morning

Computer forecast for snow accumulations by Friday morning

SNOW TOTALS: MONDAY 2-18-2019

Here are the snow reports from the National Weather Service this morning. I've also attached webcam snapshots of snow in the mountains. Enjoy!

LOCATION                SNOW(IN)    ELEVATION(FT)  

        BIG BEAR RESORTS          7-9         7000-8000 
        3 MI N OF IDYLLWILD       8           5700
        ARROWBEAR LAKE            8           6000
        RUNNING SPRINGS           6           6100
        BIG BEAR CITY             4-6         6600-6900
        ARROWHEAD VILLAS          4-5         5500
        LAKE CUYAMACA             4-5         4600
        BIRCH HILL (PALOMAR MTN)  4           5700
        ANZA                      4           4300
        PINE HILLS                1           4300  
        LUCERNE VALLEY            1           3960
        PINE VALLEY               0.5         3800
        CAMPO                     0.25        2800

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: SUNDAY 2-17-2019 TO MONDAY 2-18-2019

Here are the rain totals from Sunday into early Monday.

Alpine (ANEC1)	0.87
Barona (BNAC1)	0.49
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	0.80
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	0.60
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	0.34
Bonita (BNNC1)	0.10
Bonsall (BOSC1)	0.16
Brown Field (SDM)	0.18
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	0.54
Camp Pendleton (NFG)	0.22
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	0.66
Deer Springs (DRGC1)	0.01
Descanso (DENC1)	0.98
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	1.27
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	0.40
Eastern Tanks (ETKC1)	0.55
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	0.77
El Cajon (LCKC1)	0.30
El Camino Del Norte (ECMC1)	0.15
El Capitan Dam (ELPC1)	0.67
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.15
Escondido (ESOC1)	0.09
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	0.08
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	0.36
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	0.31
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	0.45
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	0.51
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	0.62
Julian (JLNC1)	0.63
Julian (JULC1)	0.63
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	0.13
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	0.73
La Mesa (LMSC1)	0.37
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	0.18
Lake Murray (MUYC1)	0.36
Las Flores (LSFC1)	0.11
Lindbergh Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.09
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	0.35
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	0.76
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	0.31
Miramar Marine Corps Stn (NKX)	0.23
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	0.26
Montgomery Field (MYF)	0.13
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	0.43
Oceanside (OCNC1)	0.00
Oceanside (OKB)	0.02
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	0.46
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	0.13
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	0.13
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	0.38
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	1.21
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	1.19
Potrero (PRCC1)	0.86
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	0.90
Poway (PWYC1)	0.25
Ramona (RMNC1)	0.35
Ramona (RNM)	0.29
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	0.23
Red Gate Repeater (RGPC1)	0.26
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	0.25
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	0.39
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	0.70
San Marcos Cnty Rd Stn (SMXC1)	0.09
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	0.05
San Miguel (MIGC1)	0.00
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	0.09
San Ysidro (YSDC1)	0.12
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	0.61
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	0.30
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	0.41
Solana Beach (SOB)	0.08
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	0.47
Vallecitos Repeater (VCIC1)	0.48
Valley Center (VALC1)	0.23
Valley Center (VLCC1)	0.24
Volcano Mountain (VCNC1)	0.16
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	0.44
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	0.04
Witch Creek Fire Stn (WCHC1)	0.56
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	0.21