NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED SATURDAY 2-24-2024

A storm system is right off the coast of California (seen in the satellite loop below). It's weak and cut off from the main flow of the upper atmosphere. It will continue to bring clouds into our area for the rest of the weekend, with a few peeks of sunshine.

Another system will dive southward and pull that storm our way on Monday and Tuesday. A few showers will be possible, though it won't amount to much rainfall. I've posted the projections below. Snow levels will stay above 6,000 feet, so I'm not expecting snow in our local mountains.

Another system will move in for next weekend and bring us another chance for rain. This one will be colder, though I'm skeptical about how cold. Most storms have been relatively warm this rain season. I'll keep watching and bring updates as the data becomes more consistent.

 

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: MONDAY 2-19-2024 TO WEDNESDAY 2-21-2024

Agua Caliente (AGUC1)	0.15
Alpine (ANEC1)	1.03
Barona (BNAC1)	0.85
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	0.43
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	0.51
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	1.49
Bonita (BNNC1)	1.02
Bonsall (BOSC1)	0.64
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0.16
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0.08
Brown Field (SDM)	0.66
Cameron Guard Station (CMNC1)	0.56
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	0.81
Camp Pendleton (PPDC1)	0.00
Campo (CMFC1)	0.44
Case Springs (CSPC1)	1.36
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	1.24
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	0.66
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	0.75
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0.03
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	1.17
Deer Springs (DRGC1)	0.66
Descanso (DENC1)	1.05
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	0.93
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	0.75
Eastern Tanks (ETKC1)	1.38
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	1.07
El Camino Del Norte (ECMC1)	1.02
El Capitan Dam (ELPC1)	0.87
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.83
Escondido (ESOC1)	0.78
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	0.90
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	0.89
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	0.79
Fallbrook Community AP (L18)	0.84
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	1.12
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	0.82
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	0.63
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	0.86
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	0.52
Imperial Beach (TIXC1)	0.42
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	0.85
Julian (JLNC1)	0.85
Julian (JULC1)	0.67
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	0.67
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	0.94
La Mesa (LMSC1)	0.66
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	1.20
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	0.72
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	0.83
Las Flores (LSFC1)	0.03
Lindbergh Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.83
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	1.77
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	0.27
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	0.78
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	0.97
Miramar Marine Corps Station (NKX)	0.55
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	1.06
Missle (MSXC1)	0.04
Montgomery Field (MYF)	0.76
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	0.55
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	0.58
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	0.87
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	0.46
Oceanside (OCNC1)	0.78
Oceanside (OKB)	0.79
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	1.05
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	0.82
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	0.82
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	0.86
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	1.20
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	1.91
Palomar Mountain USFS (PAMC1)	1.27
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	1.11
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	1.09
Point Loma (L13)	1.11
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	0.56
Poway (PWYC1)	0.82
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	0.91
Ramona (RMNC1)	0.70
Ramona (RNM)	0.76
Ranchita (RTAC1)	0.33
Ranchita CDF (RCHC1)	0.38
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	1.10
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	0.91
Red Gate Repeater (RGPC1)	0.94
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	0.49
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	0.70
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	0.67
San Felipe Valley (SFVC1)	0.04
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	0.79
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	0.85
San Miguel (MIGC1)	1.08
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	0.83
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	1.49
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	0.75
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	1.20
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	0.66
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	0.64
Talega (TLGC1)	1.26
Temecula (TEMC1)	0.87
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	0.47
Valley Center (VALC1)	0.00
Valley Center (VLCC1)	0.51
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	0.70
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	0.45
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	1.04
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	0.90
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	0.67

NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED TUESDAY 2-13-2024

I'm keeping a close eye out in the Pacific, looking for our next rain chance. It's quite turbulent out there, so it's hard for the computers to get a handle on the long range forecasts. 

A small system will miss us to the north in the next couple days. Afterwards, another system will clip the area this weekend and bring a slight chance for a shower or two late Saturday into early Sunday (30%).

A third system will then move in early next workweek. This one will be tough to forecast because it will weaken as it approaches. Currently, it appears that it will move in Monday and bring a chance for rain through Wednesday. 

We could also see another chance for rain for the end of the month. I'll continue to watch the scenario as it unfolds and bring more updates as the picture becomes more clear.

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: MONDAY 2-5-2024 TO FRIDAY 2-9-2024

Here are the final 5-day rain totals from Monday to Friday. I've also included the totals near Los Angeles and filtered out any totals below 8". It's easy to see why there was so much flooding.

Alpine (ANEC1)	4.50
Barona (BNAC1)	3.63
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	2.98
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	3.73
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	3.33
Bonita (BNNC1)	2.68
Bonsall (BOSC1)	4.78
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0.91
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0.44
Brown Field (SDM)	2.94
Cameron Guard Station (CMNC1)	3.49
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	3.30
Campo (CMFC1)	3.17
Case Springs (CSPC1)	7.33
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	6.95
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	3.85
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	3.96
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0.36
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	7.06
Deer Springs (DRGC1)	4.67
Descanso (DENC1)	5.38
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	5.67
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	3.05
Eastern Tanks (ETKC1)	5.44
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	4.26
El Camino Del Norte (ECMC1)	3.73
El Capitan Dam (ELPC1)	4.22
Encinitas (ENCC1)	3.41
Escondido (ESOC1)	3.91
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	5.53
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	5.84
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	5.53
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	2.57
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	3.31
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	4.22
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	3.54
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	3.54
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	5.18
Imperial Beach (TIXC1)	2.71
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	3.60
Julian (JLNC1)	6.11
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	3.11
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	5.29
La Mesa (LMSC1)	3.27
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	3.41
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	3.21
Las Flores (LSFC1)	3.42
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	4.90
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	0.24
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	6.17
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	3.73
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	3.37
Missle (MSXC1)	0.11
Montgomery Field (MYF)	2.80
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	1.45
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	1.32
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	4.47
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	2.99
Oceanside (OCNC1)	4.39
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	3.75
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	3.92
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	3.93
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	4.11
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	5.38
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	5.31
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	6.44
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	6.73
Point Loma (L13)	2.53
Potrero (PRCC1)	3.59
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	3.51
Poway (PWYC1)	3.49
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	4.38
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	4.54
Ramona (RMNC1)	3.74
Ranchita (RTAC1)	2.49
Ranchita CDF (RCHC1)	2.08
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	5.73
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	3.16
Red Gate Repeater (RGPC1)	5.59
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	2.70
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	2.85
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	3.78
San Felipe Valley (SFVC1)	0.91
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	3.69
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	3.31
San Miguel (MIGC1)	2.92
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	2.76
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	6.31
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	5.00
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	3.56
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	4.79
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	4.86
Talega (TLGC1)	5.44
Temecula (TEMC1)	4.05
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	2.62
Valley Center (VLCC1)	4.16
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	2.27
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	2.62
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	5.42
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	4.65
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	5.06

WEATHER UPDATE: SUNDAY 2-4-2024

The next storm system is on our doorstep and will bring periods of rain and isolated downpours starting tonight and last through Tuesday.

Another system will clip the area Wednesday and Thursday, bringing intermittent showers to the area.

There is still a slight chance for a lingering isolated shower on Friday, but it's looking like most of the day will be dry.

Snow levels will stay around 6,000-7,000 feet Monday and Tuesday. Levels will drop to 5,000-6,000 feet Wednesday and Thursday.

I've posted the computer projected rain and snow totals through Friday morning. They show our area getting 3-4" of rain across the County. Snow accumulations will be minimal in local mountains.

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: THURSDAY 2-1-2024 TO FRIDAY 2-2-2024

 Here are the 2-day rain totals from Thursday to Friday.

Agua Caliente (AGUC1)	0.32
Alpine (ANEC1)	1.34
Barona (BNAC1)	1.00
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	1.58
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	1.94
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	2.14
Bonita (BNNC1)	0.99
Bonsall (BOSC1)	1.74
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0.70
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0.43
Brown Field (SDM)	1.22
Cameron Guard Station (CMNC1)	1.47
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	1.14
Camp Pendleton (PPDC1)	0.00
Campo (CMFC1)	1.55
Case Springs (CSPC1)	2.02
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	2.56
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	1.44
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	1.88
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0.65
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	3.89
Deer Springs (DRGC1)	1.91
Descanso (DENC1)	1.96
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	1.78
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	1.93
Eastern Tanks (ETKC1)	2.00
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	2.35
El Camino Del Norte (ECMC1)	1.33
El Capitan Dam (ELPC1)	1.32
Encinitas (ENCC1)	1.35
Escondido (ESOC1)	1.66
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	1.42
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	1.90
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	2.14
Fallbrook Community AP (L18)	2.57
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	1.01
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	1.27
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	2.00
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	1.34
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	2.21
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	1.95
Julian (JLNC1)	3.19
Julian (JULC1)	3.24
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	1.09
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	2.07
La Mesa (LMSC1)	1.44
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	2.20
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	1.33
Las Flores (LSFC1)	1.63
Lindbergh Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.90
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	1.53
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	1.10
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	2.77
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	1.20
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	1.09
Missle (MSXC1)	0.60
Montgomery Field (MYF)	1.09
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	1.69
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	1.47
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	1.01
North Island NAS (NZY)	0.83
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	1.82
Oceanside (OCNC1)	1.46
Oceanside (OKB)	1.57
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	2.49
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	1.81
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	1.31
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	1.38
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	4.24
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	2.45
Palomar Mountain USFS (PAMC1)	3.67
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	2.50
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	2.55
Pine Valley County Park (PNVC1)	2.42
Point Loma (L13)	0.79
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	1.73
Poway (PWYC1)	0.99
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	1.58
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	1.67
Ramona (RMNC1)	1.78
Ramona (RNM)	1.25
Ranchita (RTAC1)	1.23
Ranchita CDF (RCHC1)	1.01
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	2.61
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	1.26
Red Gate Repeater (RGPC1)	1.78
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	1.89
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	1.07
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	1.11
San Felipe Valley (SFVC1)	0.67
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	1.46
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	1.20
San Miguel (MIGC1)	1.01
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	1.36
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	1.73
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	2.31
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	1.33
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	1.88
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	2.36
Talega (TLGC1)	1.27
Temecula (TEMC1)	1.18
Thousand Trails - Jamul (TTRC1)	1.11
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	1.51
Valley Center (VLCC1)	1.80
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	2.69
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	1.50
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	1.85
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	2.32
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	1.72