NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED MONDAY 11-27-2023

A small and weak storm system is spiraling off the Northern California coast (seen in the satellite loop below). This will settle down into our area on Wednesday and bring a few showers. 

Some patchy drizzle or light rain will linger on Thursday, especially in the mountains. Another small system will clip us on Friday and bring a quick chance for showers, especially early in the day. The rain chance will diminish by Friday evening.

I've posted the computer projection for rain totals through Friday evening. Coastal and inland areas should only see around 0.25" of rainfall, but isolated areas in the mountains will see 1" to 1.5".

 

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: FRIDAY 11-17-2023

 

 

Alpine (ANEC1)	0.24
Barona (BNAC1)	0.21
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	0.16
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	0.19
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	0.33
Bonita (BNNC1)	0.16
Bonsall (BOSC1)	0.00
Brown Field (SDM)	0.10
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	0.25
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	0.24
Camp Pendleton (NFG)	0.00
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	0.07
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	0.20
Deer Springs (DRGC1)	0.01
Descanso (DENC1)	0.37
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	0.38
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	0.25
Eastern Tanks (ETKC1)	0.28
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	0.21
El Capitan Dam (ELPC1)	0.15
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.00
Escondido (ESOC1)	0.05
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	0.20
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	0.15
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	0.04
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	0.38
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	0.13
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	0.11
Imperial Beach (TIXC1)	0.22
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	0.23
Julian (JLNC1)	0.22
Julian (JULC1)	0.26
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	0.29
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	0.30
La Mesa (LMSC1)	0.18
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	0.06
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	0.39
Las Flores (LSFC1)	0.00
Lindbergh Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.00
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	0.04
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	0.12
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	0.40
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	0.23
Missle (MSXC1)	0.14
Montgomery Field (MYF)	0.19
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	0.17
North Island NAS (NZY)	0.15
Oceanside (OCNC1)	0.00
Oceanside (OKB)	0.00
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	0.05
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	0.00
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	0.00
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	0.29
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	0.29
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	0.27
Point Loma (L13)	0.12
Potrero (PRCC1)	0.08
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	0.10
Poway (PWYC1)	0.23
Ramona (RMNC1)	0.05
Ramona (RNM)	0.11
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	0.23
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	0.55
Red Gate Repeater (RGPC1)	0.28
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	0.46
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	0.16
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	0.17
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	0.00
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	0.00
San Miguel (MIGC1)	0.39
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	0.59
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	0.46
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	0.26
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	0.23
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	0.08
Valley Center (VALC1)	0.00
Valley Center (VLCC1)	0.20
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	0.24
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	0.12
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	0.01
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	0.36
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	0.37

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: WEDNESDAY 11-15-2023

 

WEATHER UPDATE: WEDNESDAY 11-15-2023

Periods of showers will persist through the rest of today. A stray shower is possible Thursday (30%), however, the majority of the day will be dry. 

Another chance for showers (70%) arrives Friday evening into Saturday morning. Lastly, there is also a slight chance (40%) for rain Saturday evening/night as the storm system exits. 

I've posted the computer projections for total rainfall through Sunday morning below:

NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED SATURDAY 11-11-2023

Well, it's finally time to start updating the blog again. Rain season has begun! 

El Niño is strong with equatorial Pacific waters being very warm. Subsurface temperatures are also warm, which means El Niño will persist through winter. This typically equates to wet conditions throughout Southern California. You can track water temperatures in the El Niño section of my website. 

The computer forecasts have been pretty terrible with this upcoming storm system. This usually happens during the transitional autumn months leading into winter. It seems like they are starting to become more consistent.

There is a storm system in the Gulf Of Alaska that will deepen once a piece of energy migrates out of the Aleutian Islands of Alaska. You can see it as a blob of blue in the satellite loop below.  

This system will settle off the coast of California and give us a few bouts of rain from Wednesday evening (11/15) through Saturday morning (11/18). 

It appears that the best chance for substantial rain will be when the core of the system passes Friday into early Saturday.

This is still far away and a lot can change, so I will definitely will have another update once the data is more concrete. I've posted the current projections for rain totals through Saturday morning, which show us getting around an inch of rain.