Moisture is being pushed ahead of this system. This moisture will wrap around the storm as it tracks south of our area. This will spark off more showers and isolated downpours starting Thursday morning. Periods of rain will persist through Thursday. Showers will become more isolated Thursday night into Friday. A renegade shower could pop up early Saturday, but most of the day looks dry.
The track of this system is key to the rain totals. The computer forecasts continue to perform terribly. I've posted two projections below. One pushes the rain mostly to the mountains and eastward/northward. I still think coastal and inland areas could see a half inch to an inch. Mountains and areas eastward could see 1 to 3", where thunderstorms are more likely.
I'm still watching another system that will move in late Monday into Tuesday next week. This will bring more showers and significantly lower snow levels.
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