Our next storm system is spinning right off the Southern California Coast. You can spot it on the satellite loop below. Showers will develop late Monday afternoon and into Monday night. Rain
with embedded downpours will be possible through the day on Tuesday.
Showers will become more isolated heading into Wednesday.
It's not surprising that computer forecasts can't agree with this system. At this point, I'm going to rely on global models like the ECMWF (Euro) and GFS for this storm. They usually have better data over the Pacific Ocean. Euro is showing the most rainfall compared to the rest of the computer forecasts. It's showing 1-3" across the area.
I've posted the projected rain totals from the GFS computer model. It's showing 0.5" to 1.5" across the area, which seems somewhat reasonable though perhaps a tad conservative. It's a tough call considering that a slight shift in the storm track could dramatically increase or decrease those totals. I'm going to keep watching the data and will bring more updates if needed.
Snow levels will remain high with this system, so I'm not expecting snow in local mountains.
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