NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED WEDNESDAY 2-26-2025

After a long period of dry and warm weather, the pattern is about to become more active with cooler temperatures and chances for rain. 

Saturday, 3/1
The first chance for rain arrives early Saturday as a small system passes overhead. This system is weak, and moisture is limited, so only a quick shower or two will pop up. Sunday looks cloudy, cool and mostly dry.

Monday, 3/3
The next system arrives early next week. This system is bigger and will tap into moisture from the south. Computer forecasts have slowed this storm and shifted it north - a trend to watch in the coming days. 

As it stands, rain should arrive late Sunday night, then showers will be possible through Monday evening. An isolated shower is still possible in the mountains into early Tuesday.

Snow levels will be fairly high, though the highest peaks in San Diego County could see a quick changeover to snow.

I've posted the rain and snow projections through Tuesday morning below.

Wednesday, 3/5
This system is looking impressive. Be cautioned though, the computers are still erratic with the placement and timing of this storm, so the forecast will change some in the coming days.

Regardless, the computers are becoming a little more consistent with the scenario. Rain with isolated downpours are possible. Again, snow levels look fairly high, though local mountains should see some snow.

This is an evolving situation, so be sure to check forecasts for updates on timing and rain projections.

Tuesday, 3/11 to Thursday 3/13
Long range computer projections are also hinting at a storm around this time period. Snow levels could be lower with this system. This is far into the future, plus I'm skeptical given the overall trend this winter, however, I'll keep watching it and bring updates.

Computer projected rain totals through next Tuesday morning

 

Computer projected snow totals through next Tuesday morning

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: WEDNESDAY 2-12-2025 TO FRIDAY 2-14-2025

I'm going to use this blog post for a running tally of rain totals from Wednesday through Friday. 

Updated Friday 4 PM.

Agua Caliente (AGUC1)	0.16
Alpine (ANEC1)	2.25
Barona (BNAC1)	2.06
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	1.80
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	1.97
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	6.42
Bonita (BNNC1)	0.99
Bonsall (BOSC1)	2.19
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0.38
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0.21
Brown Field (SDM)	0.00
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	1.83
Cameron Guard Station (CMNC1)	2.28
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	2.00
Campo (CMFC1)	1.86
Case Springs (CSPC1)	0.87
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	2.52
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	1.96
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	1.52
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0.30
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	5.15
Del Sol Canyon Collector (DLSC1)	0.72
Descanso (DENC1)	3.20
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	3.20
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	1.92
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	2.27
El Camino Del Norte (ECMC1)	1.63
El Capitan Dam (ELPC1)	2.27
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.42
Escondido (ESOC1)	2.73
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	2.57
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	3.01
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	2.93
Fallbrook Community AP (L18)	2.69
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	1.03
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	1.66
Goat Canyon (GOCC1)	0.88
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	1.96
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	1.27
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	2.32
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	4.66
Imperial Beach (TIXC1)	0.65
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	2.42
Julian (JLNC1)	3.83
Julian (JULC1)	3.83
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	1.76
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	3.73
La Mesa (LMSC1)	1.61
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	2.51
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	2.70
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	1.55
Las Flores (LSFC1)	3.10
Lindbergh Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.75
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	3.26
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	1.76
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	4.77
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	2.04
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	1.30
Missle (MSXC1)	0.00
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	2.15
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	2.66
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	2.58
North Island NAS (NZY)	0.45
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	2.11
Oceanside (OCNC1)	1.71
Oceanside (OKB)	1.52
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	3.22
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	2.26
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	1.50
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	1.71
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	6.75
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	7.55
Palomar Mountain USFS (PAMC1)	6.83
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	4.46
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	4.47
Pine Valley County Park (PNVC1)	2.36
Point Loma (L13)	0.80
Potrero (PRCC1)	2.26
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	1.90
Poway (PWYC1)	2.49
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	3.40
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	3.06
Ramona (RMNC1)	1.97
Ramona (RNM)	1.98
Ranchita (RTAC1)	1.29
Ranchita CDF (RCHC1)	1.36
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	3.84
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	2.29
Red Gate Repeater (RGPC1)	2.36
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	2.24
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	0.88
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	2.30
San Felipe Valley (SFVC1)	0.59
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	1.52
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	1.97
San Miguel (MIGC1)	1.00
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	1.88
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	4.27
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	2.98
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	1.89
Silva Drain Collector (ISVC1)	1.01
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	3.72
Stewarts Drain Cyn Collector (EWTC1)	0.95
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	3.65
Talega (TLGC1)	2.29
Temecula (TEMC1)	2.44
Thousand Trails - Jamul (TTRC1)	0.93
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	1.07
Vallecitos Repeater (VCIC1)	3.38
Valley Center (VALC1)	2.99
Valley Center (VLCC1)	2.69
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	3.34
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	1.92
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	2.17
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	2.92
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	3.37

 

NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED SUNDAY 2-9-2025

It looks like we finally have a legitimate chance at some good rainfall in our area. A storm system is brewing in the Western Aleutian Islands of Alaska, thousands of miles away. 

A small storm will race ahead of this system and bring us showers on-and-off through Wednesday.

We will then have a better chance for moderate showers Thursday, especially late in the day. As the core of the system approaches, moderate showers and isolated downpours will be possible Thursday night into early Friday. A few showers will linger into Friday afternoon, then things will dry out in the evening.

Like most of this season, snow levels will stay fairly high, so snow chances are pretty slim for local mountains in San Diego County. There will be a brief changeover as the core of the system passes late Friday.

I've posted the computer projected rain and snow totals below. Rain totals will range from 1 to 4" across the County. We need it!

 

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: FRIDAY 2-7-2025

 

Agua Caliente (AGUC1)	0.00
Alpine (ANEC1)	0.40
Barona (BNAC1)	0.17
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	0.17
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	0.30
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	0.47
Bonita (BNNC1)	0.09
Bonsall (BOSC1)	0.34
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0.00
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0.00
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	0.19
Cameron Guard Station (CMNC1)	0.15
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	0.13
Camp Pendleton (PPDC1)	0.40
Campo (CMFC1)	0.06
Case Springs (CSPC1)	0.02
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	0.46
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	0.41
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	0.25
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0.00
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	0.61
Del Sol Canyon Collector (DLSC1)	0.16
Descanso (DENC1)	0.33
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	0.30
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	0.11
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	0.22
El Camino Del Norte (ECMC1)	0.28
El Capitan Dam (ELPC1)	0.27
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.23
Escondido (ESOC1)	0.27
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	0.40
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	0.55
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	0.38
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	0.14
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	0.22
Goat Canyon (GOCC1)	0.14
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	0.37
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	0.12
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	0.29
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	0.23
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	0.28
Julian (JLNC1)	0.55
Julian (JULC1)	0.47
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	0.13
La Jolla Amago (LJOC1)	0.45
La Mesa (LMSC1)	0.13
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	0.30
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	0.33
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	0.13
Las Flores (LSFC1)	0.49
Lindbergh Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.17
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	0.34
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	0.31
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	0.63
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	0.24
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	0.16
Missle (MSXC1)	0.00
Montgomery Field (MYF)	0.09
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	0.12
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	0.30
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	0.24
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	0.03
Oceanside (OCNC1)	0.25
Oceanside (OKB)	0.24
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	0.36
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	0.24
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	0.21
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	0.24
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	0.34
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	0.70
Palomar Mountain USFS (PAMC1)	0.39
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	0.59
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	0.57
Pine Valley County Park (PNVC1)	0.31
Point Loma (L13)	0.15
Potrero (PRCC1)	0.24
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	0.25
Poway (PWYC1)	0.17
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	0.44
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	0.38
Ramona (RMNC1)	0.28
Ramona (RNM)	0.22
Ranchita (RTAC1)	0.14
Ranchita CDF (RCHC1)	0.17
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	0.42
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	0.29
Red Gate Repeater (RGPC1)	0.36
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	0.23
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	0.14
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	0.21
San Felipe Valley (SFVC1)	0.00
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	0.31
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	0.22
San Miguel (MIGC1)	0.07
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	0.20
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	0.32
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	0.15
Silva Drain Collector (ISVC1)	0.24
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	0.29
Stewarts Drain Cyn Collector (EWTC1)	0.27
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	0.37
Talega (TLGC1)	0.32
Temecula (TEMC1)	0.15
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	0.18
Vallecitos Repeater (VCIC1)	0.32
Valley Center (VALC1)	0.26
Valley Center (VLCC1)	0.28
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	0.54
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	0.44
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	0.30
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	0.47
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	0.44

 

NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED MONDAY 2-3-2025

There is a fairly large storm system spinning off the coast of the Pacific Northwest. You can spot it on the satellite loop below. This system will draw in smaller waves of energy and moisture, bringing us a few quick chances for rain this week. 

The first one is approaching to our west and will bring a few light showers Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Another one will arrive Wednesday night into early Thursday, where patchy light rain or drizzle will be possible. 

The last one will bring us a better chance for moderate rainfall on Friday, though rain totals will still remain fairly limited. 

Snow levels will remain high, so most local mountains might see a quick changeover to snow before the system exits Friday afternoon. The weekend is looking dry and pleasantly cool.

I've posted the computer projected rain and snow totals below.