TEMPORARY REPRIEVE

I'm currently studying for my Master Brewer Diploma, so I will not be updating this blog until I take my test in early June. See you then!

-Aaron-

SAN DIEGO COUNTY RAIN TOTALS - MONDAY 5/6/2013

HERE COME THE WINDS!

Winds will be sustained from the west/northwest at 20 to 30 mph with gusts as high as 40 mph. Winds will be significantly stronger at higher elevations. I'm expecting winds to subside from 7 to 10 PM tonight. They will again pick back up tomorrow afternoon, though they won't be as strong as today. A slight breeze will also linger into Wednesday afternoon, then calmer conditions prevail for the end of the week.

STRONG WINDS NEXT WEEK

It looks like the next several days will be generally dry. A fast-moving storm system will zip to our east early next week and bring some strong winds Monday and Tuesday (4/8 to 4/9). These winds should subside by next Wednesday.

DRY PATTERN CONTINUES

As the phrase goes for March, "In like a lion, out like a lamb". Things have been very quiet for the past couple weeks, and I don't see any major changes until possibly next weekend (3/30 to 3/31), where we might see some rain sneak into the area. I hope you're enjoying the nice spring weather!

SATURDAY WEATHER UPDATE & RAIN TOTALS - 3/9/2013

Most of today will be dry, but there is still a slight chance for an isolated shower, especially in the mountains. I've posted the 24 hour rain totals below. In addition, I posted the overall storm totals over the past few days for the entire state of California.

Next week still looks crazy warm. I wouldn't be surprised if inland temps climb into the upper 80s by the end of the week. We could see rain return by the middle of the month.

 

 

SAN DIEGO WEATHER UPDATE AND RAIN TOTALS - FRIDAY 3/8/2013

A few showers and an occasional downpour are still possible today. In fact, there is some rain headed this way as I type this update at 9 AM. The air will be somewhat unstable, so I can't rule out a thunderstorm or two. Snow levels will drop to around 4000 feet later today (some areas could drop to 3000 ft).

An isolated shower is still possible on Saturday, however, most of the day looks dry. Next week still looks very warm...possibly mid to upper 80s inland by the end of the week!

I've posted the rain totals on the map below. You can always find up-to-date totals at the following link:

http://sandiegoweathercenter.blogspot.com/p/rain.html

 

Also, check out the mountain snow from this webcam on Sky Oaks this morning - beautiful!

 

 

WEST COAST STORM

Ok, back to giving updates for the San Diego area. Isolated showers will be possible tomorrow (Thursday), however, most of the day looks dry. Scattered showers will then overspread the area Thursday night and into Friday. An occasional downpour or even a thunderstorm will be possible Friday afternoon.

Snow levels will range from 5000 to 7000 feet Thursday. Then they will drop as low as 3000 to 5000 feet on Friday.

We are then headed towards a major warm up next week. We could see 80s by next Wednesday!

LAST UPDATE ON MID-ATLANTIC SNOW

UPDATED 3/6

Well, it looks like the heaviest snow will miss Richmond to the north and northwest. It was close, but no cigar for all the snow lovers in RVA. You have to be careful with storms like this. A slight shift to the south could still bring a quick 1 to 3" to the metro area. The farther north you live, the better chance you will see accumulations. In fact, a band of 3 to 6" will be *just* north of the metro. Good luck out there!

A LOOK AT THE EARLY COMPUTER MODELS

The northern trend continues with the latest runs of the NAM and RPM (which initializes off the NAM). I still think they are too far north, but at this point, these models have credence. I'm going to drop my amounts to 2-4" for Richmond, but the higher accumulations will definitely be to the north and west of the city.

 

UPDATE ON MID-ATLANTIC SNOW

I'm always amazed at how reliable the ECMWF (this morning's run pictured below) can be with storms like this. The ensemble mean nailed this storm early last week! Accumulations will be hard to verify in some locations because of melting. It will definitely be a wet snow in central VA. I think 3 to 6" will be possible for eastern parts of the metro, while western sides could reach 4 to 8". Parts of the Blue Ridge could exceed two feet! These are early guesses and of course are subject to change.

IMPRESSIVE STORM HEADED TOWARDS MID-ATLANTIC

Looks like my friends back in Virginia will see an impressive snow next week. The pattern is ripe for it. Not to mention there have been several consecutive computer model runs showing the same scenario. The ECMWF ensemble mean (maps below) shows an impressive low off the coast next Wednesday. Good luck out there!

 

WAM & DRY INTO THE WEEKEND

The big warm up continues for the next few days. Inland temps could possibly reach the upper 80s! A front will pass Sunday into Monday and push temps back down to reality. A passing shower is possible, but both days look mainly dry. A stronger front will approach the area late next week and bring a better chance for rain.

CHANGES AHEAD FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

Enjoy the sunny and warm weather while you can! A cold storm system will dive into our area Monday and bring SoCal rain and cooler weather to start off the workweek. Light rain will develop Monday night, then scattered showers and an occasional downpour will be possible through Tuesday and into early Wednesday. Snow levels will start off at 8,000-10,000 Monday night. Then they will drop to 4,000-6,000 on Tuesday and settle to 3,000-5,000 early Wednesday morning as the storm exits.

RAIN UPDATE

On-and-off showers and downpours will be possible for the rest of today. We dry off this weekend with cold nights and cool afternoons for both Saturday and Sunday.

You can find the latest radar updates here:

http://sandiegoweathercenter.blogspot.com/p/radar-satellite-imagery.html

And you can find 24 hour rain totals here:

http://sandiegoweathercenter.blogspot.com/p/rain.html

Stay dry out there!

GENERALLY A DRY PATTERN FOR SOCAL

The next several days look mainly dry. I'm watching a fast-moving storm system that could bring some rain by next week...possibly Thursday or Friday (2/7 to 2/8).

RAIN TOTALS FROM FRIDAY 1/25/2013 - SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA

Most of the rain has now pushed east. An isolated shower or two is still possible this weekend, then we are headed towards another long stretch of dry weather. It's good that we got this rainfall! I've posted the totals below.

 

FUTURE RAIN CHANCES

A weak storm will pass overhead Thursday into Friday and bring our area a chance for a few passing showers. Another front then approaches Sunday into Monday with isolated showers possible. Monday and Tuesday will be cool, but the warm and dry weather will return for the rest of the month.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE IN SAN DIEGO IS ABOUT A WEEK AWAY

The weather is almost perfect across San Diego and all of Southern California. As much as I'm enjoying it, we need some rainfall. Warm and dry weather will persist through all of the upcoming workweek, then a storm system will approach the area from the west and bring us cooler weather with a chance for some rain next Sunday night into Monday (1/27 to 1/28).

The warm and dry pattern will then return for the rest of January into the first week of February. In other words, we only have one chance for rain in the next three weeks!

I want to also mention that the transition period from Tuesday (1/29) to Thursday (1/31) could be interesting for the eastern third of the United States. I wouldn't be surprised if a large snow storm develops somewhere in the Ohio River Valley into New England. It will be fun to watch!

THIS UPCOMING WEEK

SUNDAY, MONDAY & TUESDAY (1/27 to 1/29)

FIRST WEEK OF FEBRUARY

POSSIBLE SNOW STORM TO THE EAST 1/29 TO 1/31

OUTLOOK IN CALIFORNIA FOR THE REST OF JANUARY - MILD & DRY

This cold stretch of weather will eventually come to an end by Tuesday of next week. Afterwards, a persistent pattern will develop for the rest of the month. Temperatures will remain mild with no chance for rain in the foreseeable future. On the flip side, the eastern third of the United States will encounter an extended period of cold weather to finish January. You can spot the trends on the maps below.

THIS MONDAY

THIS THURSDAY

WEDNESDAY, JANURAY 23

FUTURE RAIN CHANCES

A series of fast-moving storm systems will bring some rain to our area for the next week. Showers are possible this afternoon and into tonight. Another chance for rain arrives Thursday, though it doesn't look like a lot. A stronger storm system could bring a more substantial rain next Sunday.

DECEMBER 2012 RECAP - RAINFALL AND TEMPERATURES

I'm not expecting any rain until possibly the middle of next week, so I might as well post a recap of last month.