NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED MONDAY 2-27-2023

Two storm systems will affect the area for early this week. The first system can be seen on the satellite loop below. The core of it is centered off the Pacific Northwest coastline. The second system will follow right behind.

Light showers will develop this afternoon and evening. Occasional showers will then persist through Tuesday. Then the best chance for persistent rain will arrive with the second system Tuesday evening and Tuesday night.

Rain will linger into Wednesday midday, then showers will completely dissipate by Wednesday evening.

Snow levels will range from 4,000 to 5,000 feet Monday and Tuesday. Then they will drop as low as 3,000 feet by Wednesday afternoon.

I've included the computer projected rain and snow totals below.

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SNOW TOTALS: UPDATED SUNDAY 2-26-2023

Here are some of the snow reports across the area. I've also included a couple webcam images on Laguna below.

	Inches	Elevation
Mountain High	93	6,600-8,000
Snow Valley	78-90	7,000-8,000
End Of Mt Baldy Road	77	6,360
Running Springs	71	6,225
Green Valley Lake	70	6,900
Lake Arrowhead	68	5,200
Arrowbear Lake	65	6,220
Bear Mtn Snow Summit	63	7,100
Crestline Yard	63	4,850
Wrightwood Acorn Cyn	50-55	6,600
Wrightwood	51	6,275
Wrightwood	41	5,900
Big Bear Yard	40	6,800
Forest Falls	36	5,900
Big Bear Lake	33	7,200
Angelus Oaks	33	5,780
Birch Hill/Palomar Mtn	32	5,700
Long Valley Ranger Stn	30	8,400
Big Bear City	26-38	6,800
Barton Flats	29	6,900
Mt Laguna Mtn Lodge	29	6,000
Palomar Mtn	28	5,500
Mt Baldy Village	27	4,200
Oak Glen	26	4,900
Devore	20	2,510
Idyllwild	17	5,600
Devore Heights	12	2,600
Julian Cuyamaca Woods	10	4,500
Anza	8	4,000
Pinon Hills	6.5	3,700
Phelan	6	3,900
Aguanga	4	3,410
Yucaipa	4	3,300
Warner Springs	3-4	3,000
Lytle Creek	3	3,419
Guatay	3	4,200
Santa Ysabel	2-3	3,700
Oak Grove	2	2,750
Fontana	1	1,760
Rialto	1	1,400
Victorville	1	2,726
Aguanga	0.5	1,800
Bloomington	0.5	1,100
Apple Valley	0.3	3,500

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: TUESDAY 2-21-2023 TO SUNDAY 2-26-2023

Here are the five day rain totals across the area.

Agua Caliente (AGUC1)	0.40
Alpine (ANEC1)	2.97
Barona (BNAC1)	2.40
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	2.50
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	2.75
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	2.48
Bonita (BNNC1)	1.83
Bonsall (BOSC1)	2.77
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0.86
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0.30
Brown Field (SDM)	1.41
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	2.47
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	1.67
Campo (CMFC1)	3.18
Case Springs (CSPC1)	4.03
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	2.05
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	3.04
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	3.05
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0.55
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	1.78
Deer Springs (DRGC1)	3.09
Descanso (DENC1)	2.62
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	4.03
Eastern Tanks (ETKC1)	3.74
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	2.86
El Camino Del Norte (ECMC1)	2.30
El Capitan Dam (ELPC1)	2.38
Encinitas (ENCC1)	2.15
Escondido (ESOC1)	2.93
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	2.04
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	2.08
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	2.16
Fallbrook Community AP (L18)	1.62
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	1.36
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	1.80
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	2.32
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	2.00
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	2.16
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	4.47
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	2.47
Julian (JLNC1)	2.46
Julian (JULC1)	2.00
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	1.76
La Mesa (LMSC1)	2.23
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	2.47
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	2.95
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	1.99
Las Flores (LSFC1)	2.15
Lindbergh Int'l Airport (SAN)	1.27
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	3.79
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	2.09
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	3.80
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	2.39
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	1.39
Missle (MSXC1)	0.00
Montgomery Field (MYF)	1.38
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	1.40
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	1.49
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	3.24
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	2.88
Oceanside (OCNC1)	2.02
Oceanside (OKB)	2.02
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	2.43
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	2.89
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	3.20
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	3.31
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	2.49
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	2.56
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	2.95
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	2.95
Pine Valley County Park (PNVC1)	3.50
Point Loma (L13)	1.48
Potrero (PRCC1)	3.83
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	3.11
Poway (PWYC1)	1.82
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	2.36
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	1.98
Ramona (RMNC1)	2.77
Ramona (RNM)	2.33
Ranchita (RTAC1)	1.01
Ranchita CDF (RCHC1)	0.91
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	4.67
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	2.22
Red Gate Repeater (RGPC1)	2.87
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	0.78
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	1.63
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	1.38
San Felipe Valley (SFVC1)	1.22
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	3.26
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	2.13
San Miguel (MIGC1)	1.71
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	2.06
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	3.07
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	4.10
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	1.92
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	3.11
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	3.51
Talega (TLGC1)	2.87
Temecula (TEMC1)	2.28
Thousand Trails - Jamul (TTRC1)	1.90
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	1.38
Valley Center (VALC1)	3.56
Valley Center (VLCC1)	3.24
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	1.66
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	2.36
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	1.99
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	3.60
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	2.96

NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED TUESDAY 2-21-2023

As I had mentioned in a previous blog post, our weather patter is about to dramatically change for the end of February. A series of storm systems will dive into our area from the north and bring waves of rain and snowfall to Southern California.

The first system can be seen moving southward along the Canadian west coast in the satellite loop below. Reinforcing waves of energy will migrate out of the Gulf of Alaska and follow this path into our area.

Showers will arrive this evening and tonight. Periods of rain and isolated downpours will then be possible Wednesday and Thursday.

The heaviest rain will then arrive Friday into Saturday as the core of the system strengthens and moves overhead. It's during this time that we could see periods of heavy rain and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm.

Snow levels will rapidly drop tonight, then fluctuate between 3,000 and 4,500 feet through the entire event. They could even drop as low as 2,500. 

Local mountains could receive 2-3 feet of snowfall on the highest peaks. Big Bear could see several feet of snow. I know it's tempting to head into the mountains, but please be safe and wait as the roads will be extremely dangerous.

Rain and snow should exit by midday Sunday. I've posted the computer projected rain and snowfall through Sunday below. We should receive multiple inches of rainfall across the area.

I'm also watching for another rain chance to arrive next Tuesday or Wednesday.

SAN DIEGO RAIN TOTALS: SUNDAY 2-12-2023

 

Agua Caliente (AGUC1)	0.00
Alpine (ANEC1)	0.31
Barona (BNAC1)	0.38
Barret Lake (BRTC1)	0.28
Barrett Junction (BAJC1)	0.30
Birch Hill (IRCC1)	0.38
Bonita (BNNC1)	0.41
Bonsall (BOSC1)	0.04
Borrego Palm Canyon (BRPC1)	0.05
Borrego Springs (BGOC1)	0.01
Brown Field (SDM)	0.27
Cactus County Park (CCPC1)	0.47
Cameron Guard Station (CMNC1)	0.15
Camp Elliot (MPEC1)	0.66
Camp Pendleton (NFG)	0.03
Camp Pendleton (PPDC1)	0.00
Campo (CMFC1)	0.16
Case Springs (CSPC1)	0.00
CMP Target Range (CTGC1)	0.01
Core Grade Road (OLEC1)	0.09
Couser Canyon (OUSC1)	0.06
Coyote Cyn Creek (CCYC1)	0.21
Cuyamaca Reservoir (CYDC1)	0.20
Deer Springs (DRGC1)	0.14
Descanso (DENC1)	0.18
Descanso RS (DSCC1)	0.17
Dulzura Summit (DULC1)	0.18
Eastern Tanks (ETKC1)	0.39
Echo Dell (ECDC1)	0.32
El Camino Del Norte (ECMC1)	0.25
El Capitan Dam (ELPC1)	0.71
Encinitas (ENCC1)	0.21
Escondido (ESOC1)	0.34
Fallbrook 5NE (FBOC1)	0.01
Fallbrook (FBZC1)	0.01
Fallbrook (FLBC1)	0.01
Fallbrook Community AP (L18)	0.01
Fashion Valley (FSNC1)	0.42
Flinn Springs (FLYC1)	1.39
Goose Valley (GOSC1)	0.52
Granite Hills (GRHC1)	0.45
Harbison Canyon (HARC1)	0.79
Henshaw Dam (HAWC1)	0.63
Japatul Fire Station (JFSC1)	0.34
Julian (JLNC1)	0.42
Kearny Mesa (KEAC1)	0.64
La Mesa (LMSC1)	0.52
Lake Hodges (HODC1)	0.48
Lake Morena (MRAC1)	0.29
Lakeside / El Cajon (LCKC1)	0.55
Las Flores (LSFC1)	0.00
Lindbergh Int'l Airport (SAN)	0.45
Loma Tova (LMTB1)	0.00
Lower Oat Flats (OFLC1)	0.05
Marron Valley (MAVC1)	0.27
Mesa Grande (MEGC1)	0.68
Miramar Lake (MMRC1)	0.62
Mission Valley (BVDC1)	0.50
Missle (MSXC1)	0.02
Montgomery Field (MYF)	0.56
Mount Laguna (LGMC1)	0.01
Mount Laguna (MLGC1)	0.04
Mt Woodson Rd - Ramona (RMAC1)	0.46
Oak Grove (OGVC1)	0.23
Oceanside (OCNC1)	0.09
Oceanside (OKB)	0.05
Otay Mountain (OTYC1)	0.17
Pala 2W (PZAC1)	0.05
Palomar Airport (CRQ)	0.20
Palomar Airport (PLMC1)	0.21
Palomar Mountain (PRMC1)	0.27
Palomar Mountain CRS (PMMC1)	0.38
Palomar Mountain USFS (PAMC1)	0.33
Pine Hills (PIHC1)	0.47
Pine Hills Fire Station (PHIC1)	0.47
Pine Valley County Park (PNVC1)	0.13
Point Loma (L13)	0.55
Potrero (PRCC1)	0.33
Potrero CDF (POTC1)	0.28
Poway (PWYC1)	0.45
Rainbow Camp (RAIC1)	0.05
Rainbow County Park (RABC1)	0.04
Ramona (RMNC1)	0.41
Ramona (RNM)	0.40
Ranchita (RTAC1)	0.29
Ranchita Margarita (RMGC1)	0.69
Rancho Bernardo (RNBC1)	0.73
Red Gate Repeater (RGPC1)	0.32
Rincon Springs (RINC1)	0.08
Roads Division 1 HQ (RDHC1)	0.53
San Diego Estates (ESTC1)	0.43
San Felipe Valley (SFVC1)	0.08
San Marcos Cnty Rd Station (SMXC1)	0.21
San Marcos Landfill (NMLC1)	0.21
San Miguel (MIGC1)	0.43
San Pasqual (PSQC1)	0.59
Santa Rosa Plateau (SRUC1)	0.00
Santa Ysabel (SYSC1)	0.35
Santee - Mast Rd (STEC1)	0.42
Skyline Ranch (SKLC1)	0.41
Sutherland Dam (SUDC1)	0.52
Talega (TLGC1)	0.00
Temecula (TEMC1)	0.04
Thousand Trails - Jamul (TTRC1)	0.18
Tierra Del Sol (TRRC1)	0.03
Valley Center (VALC1)	0.21
Valley Center (VLCC1)	0.18
Volcan Mountain (VCNC1)	0.32
Warner Springs (WSGC1)	0.50
Wire Mountain (WIRC1)	0.04
Witch Creek Fire Station (WCHC1)	0.45
Wohlford Dam (WHLC1)	0.38

 

NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED FRIDAY 2-10-2023

I mentioned in my last blog post that the overall weather pattern was going to slightly change, allowing for some more rain chances for the middle and end of February.

The first system is currently spinning off the coast of Northern California (seen on this morning's satellite loop below).

This system will give us a chance for isolated showers Saturday night and through Sunday. A quick downpour is also possible during this time. Most computer data keeps the core of the system east and south of our area, which could limit rain potential. Also, there isn't much moisture associated with this storm. Snow levels will drop to 3,500-4,500 by Sunday morning.

Another system will dive down the Western U.S. coastline and bring us another chance for a few showers Monday into Tuesday. Again, the track of this system isn't ideal for substantial rain. However, it will definitely bring gusty winds to the region.

Long range data still suggests more chances for rain by the end of the month. I'll bring updates when data looks more consistent.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE SAN DIEGO: UPDATED SATURDAY 2-4-2023

Our next storm system is a few hundred miles off the coast in the Pacific Ocean. You can see the associated clouds in the satellite loop below. These clouds will overspread the area today and tonight. 

A few showers are possible Sunday morning and early afternoon. There isn't much moisture with this system, so most rain will be light. Snow levels will drop to 5,000-6,000 feet some some light snow is possible in local mountains.

I'm keeping a closer eye on a possible pattern change by next Sunday (indicated in the map below). The computer projections are not consistent with timing, but it still looks like a couple systems could affect the area in 8-14 days.