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MASSIVE RAIN AMOUNTS EXPECTED FOR NORCAL


Here is an interesting link about Atmospheric Rivers and forecasting heavy rain events.
 
 
Northern California is going to get hard with heavy rains (look at the 7-day computer forecast to the left). However, I'm only expecting a few showers here in San Diego on Thursday, Friday and Sunday.

WARM & DRY...BUT CHANGES AHEAD?

The next four days look fantastic! In fact, Friday and Saturday will be warm with highs inland approaching the low 80s. Although morning fog will loom, I'm not expecting any rain.

You can see on the image to the left that a massive high pressure ridge hovers over most of the western United States.

EL NINO PROBABLY A NON-FACTOR THIS WINTER

The lastest imagery continues to show neutral conditions along the equatorial Pacific. This trend will probably persist for the next couple months. The winter forecast will be a challenge this year! I plan on posting my outlook by December 1st.
 

SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN THIS WEEKEND

A passing light shower or drizzle will be possible on-and-off through Saturday and into Saturday night. Not a washout - rain totals only 0.1" or less. It shouldn't be a major concern if you plan to be outside. In fact, I will be riding my bike to Ocean Beach tomorrow and will only bring my wind breaker. Rain chances will completely diminish early Sunday morning. Have a great weekend!

UPDATE ON RAIN CHANCES FOR FRIDAY, SATURDAY & SUNDAY


An isolated light shower will be possible Friday, otherwise, most of the day looks dry. A few showers are still possible Saturday into early Sunday. It doesn't look like a lot of rain, but you will want to keep your umbrella handy if you plan to be outdoors. As you can see on the image to the left, the vast majority of rain will hit the Central Coast and especilly Northern California. Snow levels will stay well above 5000 feet, so only the tallest mountains will see any accumulations.

FIRST BIG FRONT OF THE SEASON

Now that rain season is about to start, I think it is time to dust off this blog and provide some updates.

FORECAST

HOURLY TEMPERATURE FORECAST

COAST INLAND