ADVERTISEMENT

NEXT RAIN CHANCE IN SAN DIEGO: UPDATED SATURDAY 1/3/2015

A powerful ridge in the upper atmosphere will control our weather pattern for the next couple weeks. It will bring warmer and drier than average conditions. It's strong enough to deflect a storm system in the Pacific on Monday. You can spot both features on the map below (the ridge is red, the storm system is blue)


A weak system will drift to the south of us on Thursday (marked on the map below). This system is cut off from the upper level flow. These type of systems are very difficult to forecast because they have a tendency to float around. There is the slightest chance for a shower by the end of the week (Thursday or Friday), but don't hold your breath.


Afterwards, the ridge builds back in next week. Which decreases any chance for rain.


We might have to wait until the middle of the month to have a chance for significant rainfall. There are hints of the weather pattern shifting by then. Otherwise, enjoy the nice weather!

SAN DIEGO 2014 RECAP: TOTAL RAINFALL & TEMPERATURES

2014 in San Diego was extremely dry and was the warmest on record.

We ended up with 7.77" of rainfall in the city, which is below the normal value of 10.34". We had more rain than 2013, where we received 5.57".

2014 was the warmest on record. The average temperature was 67.6, which breaks the old record of 67.2 set back in 1984.

The first map below shows total rainfall across all of California. The second map shows the percentage of normal, which helps to enhance which areas were wetter and drier.

The third map shows temperature departure from normal. The fourth map shows the ranking vs historical records. You can see that most of California saw record heat.

The last two maps shows how we compare to the rest of the United States. Most of the Southwest was dry while the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies were wetter than normal. Temperatures were warm for the western third of the country while the eastern two thirds were cooler than normal.



SAN DIEGO RAIN & SNOW TOTALS: WEDNESDAY 12/31/2014

Here are the rain totals. I've also posted the snow totals below. Enjoy, and Happy New Year!


OCEANSIDE                        0.95         
CARLSBAD                         0.56        
CARLSBAD AIRPORT                 0.54        
LAS FLORES RAWS                  0.51        
BROWN FIELD                      0.40        
SAN MARCOS LANDFILL              0.38        
SAN ONOFRE                       0.28        
EL CAMINO DEL NORTE              0.28         
ENCINITAS                        0.27        
SOLANA BEACH                     0.18          
FASHION VALLEY                   0.14         
CAMP ELLIOT RAWS                 0.13        
POINT LOMA                       0.10        
SAN YSIDRO                       0.08         
SMUGGLERS GULCH                  0.08         
TIJUANA ESTUARY                  0.07         
LINDBERGH FIELD                  0.05         
MONTGOMERY FIELD                 0.02        

FALLBROOK                        1.28     
CAMP TRGT RANGE RAWS             1.26         
DEER SPRINGS                     0.84        
VALLEY CENTER                    0.81        
ESCONDIDO                        0.77         
BONSALL CRS                      0.75         
RINCON SPRINGS                   0.68         
COUSER CANYON                    0.67         
COLE GRADE RD                    0.64         
RAMONA                           0.57        
LAKE WOHLFORD                    0.55        
VALLEY CENTER RAWS               0.55        
BARONA                           0.48        
DULZURA SUMMIT                   0.47        
RANCHO BERNARDO                  0.46         
RAMONA AIRPORT                   0.43        
SANTEE                           0.40         
FLINN SPRINGS                    0.38         
LOS COCHES CREEK                 0.38         
LAKE MURRAY                      0.36         
LA MESA                          0.35         
SAN MIGUEL RAWS                  0.32         
GRANITE HILLS                    0.30         
HARBISON CANYON                  0.28        
POWAY                            0.27         
MIRAMAR LAKE                     0.15         
SANDIA CK RD                     0.12         
PARADISE CREEK                   0.08         
 
 
SNOWFALL TOTALS
 
 POTRERO...................3 INCHES AS OF 1030 AM TODAY
 WRIGHTWOOD................5 INCHES AS OF 900 AM TODAY
 PHELAN....................2 INCHES AS OF 900 AM TODAY
 TEMECULA..................2 INCHES AS OF 900 AM TODAY
 LAKE ELSINORE...........1-2 INCHES AS OF 900 AM TODAY
 BIG BEAR LAKE............12 INCHES AS OF 830 AM TODAY
 CAMPO...................2.5 INCHES AS OF 830 AM TODAY
 MOUNT LAGUNA..............7 INCHES AS OF 800 AM TODAY
 PALOMAR OBSERVATORY......12 INCHES AS OF 745 AM TODAY      
 EL CARISO VILLAGE........10 INCHES AS OF 745 AM TODAY
 JULIAN....................9 INCHES AS OF 800 AM TODAY
 LAKE ARROWHEAD..........5-6 INCHES AS OF 740 AM TODAY
 FRENCH VALLEY.........2-2.5 INCHES AS OF 730 AM TODAY
 PIONEERTOWN...............3 INCHES AS OF 730 AM TODAY
 PINE VALLEY...............3 INCHES AS OF 715 AM TODAY
 RANCHITA..................6 INCHES AS OF 500 AM TODAY
 HORSETHIEF CYN
 (8 NW LAKE ELSINORE)......6 INCHES AS OF 400 AM TODAY
 NEAR IDYLLWILD............8 INCHES AS OF 430 AM TODAY

PHOTOS OF SNOW: MOUNT LAGUNA WEDNESDAY 12/31/2014

Here's an image from Laguna today courtesy of UCSD webcam system. Pretty cool! There is one more batch of precipitation moving through the area, then we will be dry by the late afternoon. Get ready for the cold tonight! I'll post rain and snow totals in a few hours.


And later in the day


From High Point


WEATHER UPDATE: 8 PM MONDAY 12/29/2014

OK, weather rapid fire!

An isolated passing shower is possible Tuesday morning and early afternoon. Otherwise, the day will start mainly dry.
Widely scattered showers and isolated downpours will then overspread the area Tuesday evening into Tuesday night and will persist until Wednesday afternoon.

The atmosphere will also be unstable enough to support a thunderstorm or two.

Rain totals will range from 0.1" to 0.75" along the coast and inland. Totals will depend heavily on whether you see a downpour/thunderstorm or not.

Snow levels will start off at 5,000 feet on Tuesday. They will then drop to 2,000 to 3,000 feet Tuesday night into Wednesday. Isolated areas could briefly see snow levels as low as 1,000 feet.

Given a saturated atmosphere, temperatures generally need to be around 35°F to see snowfall. In other words, the chances for snow along the coast or inland are slim to none. Temperatures will be too warm.

Speaking of temperatures, it's going to be cold Wednesday and Thursday nights! Overnight lows inland will drop to 32-35°F. Coastal areas will be 38-42°F.

I've posted a forecast snow accumulation map below. You can see that some of the higher peaks to the east like Cuyamaca and Laguna could receive 4-8". Granted, the ground is fairly warm, so a lot of it will initially melt.


FORECAST

HOURLY TEMPERATURE FORECAST

COAST INLAND

BLOG ARCHIVE